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The recent equity rebound stalled as investor rate cut bets were made uncertain by Fed commentary. Fed President Neel Kashkari said rates might not be restrictive enough to clamp down on inflation. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementUS stocks were mostly higher Tuesday, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average continuing to pull slightly higher. His remarks followed similar hawkishness from Fed President Tom Barkin on Monday, who indicated that the economy will need to slow down more before policy can pivot.
Persons: Neel Kashkari, , Tom Barkin, Lisa Cook, Austan Goolsbee Organizations: Disney, Service, Dow Jones, Dow, Minneapolis Federal, Chicago Locations: Minneapolis, Here's
Dollar steady ahead of jobs data; yen hits two-week high
  + stars: | 2024-04-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The yen, while still close to the 152 range, hit a two-week high against the greenback as safe-haven bids and fresh warnings from Japanese authorities buoyed the currency. The dollar has had a turbulent week, falling from a five-month high to a two-week low after an unexpected slowdown in U.S. services growth supported expectations of bringing interest rates down. The dollar index , which measures the greenback against a basket of major currencies, was last largely unchanged at 104.18. Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki on Friday reiterated the government's resolve to take appropriate action against sharp yen falls. The yen strengthened 0.29% versus the greenback to a two-week high of 150.92.
Persons: payrolls, Neel Kashkari, Jerome Powell, Charu Chanana, Joe Biden, Matt Simpson, Shunichi Suzuki, Kazuo Ueda, bitcoin Organizations: U.S, The U.S, greenback, Minneapolis Federal, Saxo, Biden, Finance, Bank of Japan, Asahi Locations: The, Minneapolis, Gaza, Iran
Traders work on the trading floor at the New York Stock Exchange on April 5, 2024. Stocks rebounded Friday following the Dow Jones Industrial Average 's worst session in more than a year as traders cheered a stronger-than-expected jobs report and looked past a jump in rates. The 30-stock Dow climbed 307.06 points, or 0.8%, to settle at 38,904.04. The Dow slid 2.27%, posting its worst weekly performance in 2024. The Dow tumbled about 530 points, or 1.35%, on Thursday, marking its biggest daily drop since March 2023 and its fourth consecutive losing session.
Persons: Stocks, Dow, Nonfarm payrolls, Dow Jones, Jamie Cox, Neel Kashkari Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Treasury, Labor, Federal Reserve, Harris Financial, Minneapolis Federal Locations: Minneapolis
ET, the 10-year Treasury yield was up by just over one basis point to 4.1095%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last down by less than one basis point at 4.4185%. U.S. Treasury yields were little changed on Thursday as investors considered remarks from Federal Reserve officials about the path ahead for interest rate cuts. On Wednesday, Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari told CNBC's "Squawk Box" that he believes two or three rate cuts would take place in 2024. The comments echoed those made by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell last week and stoked concerns among investors that fewer rate cuts than they have been expecting could be implemented.
Persons: Neel Kashkari, CNBC's, Jerome Powell, Adriana Kugler, Powell Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Minneapolis Federal, Fed
Neel Kashkari, President and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, speaks during an interview with Reuters in New York City, New York, May 22, 2023. Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari said Wednesday that he expects the central bank to cut rates only a few times this year, contrary to market expectations. "We just need to look at the actual inflation data to guide us," Kashkari said. He added that there are "compelling arguments to suggest we could be in a longer, higher rate environment going forward." Kashkari said the trend indicates that interest rates may not be exerting as much pressure on the economy as expected.
Persons: Neel Kashkari, Jerome Powell, Kashkari Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, Reuters, Minneapolis Federal, CNBC, CBS, Market, Minneapolis Fed, Labor Locations: New York City , New York, Minneapolis
Neel Kashkari, president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, during an interview in New York on Nov. 7, 2023. Interest rates running at their highest levels in about 23 years are not hurting the economy and could buy policymakers more time before deciding whether to cut, Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari said Monday. In an essay released on the central bank's website, Kashkari said economic developments have shown that Fed policy is not as restrictive on growth as it appears on the surface. That means the longer-run "neutral" rate, or the level that is neither restrictive nor stimulative, is probably higher than before the Covid-19 pandemic. Markets have been betting on an aggressive move lower, but recent statements from central bank officials indicate little need to hurry.
Persons: Neel Kashkari, Kashkari Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, Minneapolis Federal Locations: New York
Pump jacks operate in front of a drilling rig in an oil field in Midland, Texas U.S. August 22, 2018. Brent crude futures closed below $84 a barrel for the first time since Hamas Islamists' Oct. 7 attack on Israel. A recovery in oil exports from the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries also added to the pressure on oil prices, UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo said. On the demand side, China's crude oil imports in October showed robust growth but its total exports of goods and services contracted at a quicker pace than expected. "There are concerns in the oil markets about both rising supply and sliding demand," said Mizuho analyst Robert Yawger.
Persons: Nick Oxford, Powell, Craig Erlam, Giovanni Staunovo, Staunovo, Brent, Fiona Cincotta, Neel Kashkari, Jerome Powell, Robert Yawger, It's, Shariq Khan, Trixie Yap, Yuka Obayashi, David Gregorio, Matthew Lewis Organizations: Midland , Texas U.S, REUTERS, bbl, BENGALURU, Brent, U.S, West Texas, Traders, Organization of Petroleum, UBS, U.S . Energy Information Administration, ., Minneapolis Federal, Investors, Thomson Locations: Midland , Texas, Israel, U.S, Bengaluru, Singapore, Tokyo
An oil pumpjack pulls oil from the Permian Basin oil field in Odessa, Texas, on March 14, 2022. U.S. crude prices on Tuesday fell below $78 a barrel to hit the lowest point since July as weak global economic data overshadowed concerns that the Israel-Hamas war could erupt into a broader regional conflict. Beijing's crude oil imports rose by volume and value in October, but the country's overall exports fell more than expected, indicating slowing global demand. The data out of China offset the effect of Saudi Arabia's and Russia's oil output cuts, which lifted oil prices earlier in the week. Oil prices had spiked in the week following Hamas' devastating terrorist attacks on Israel on concerns that the war could escalate into a broader regional conflict that disrupts oil supply.
Persons: Brent, Neel Kashkari, Kashkari, — CNBC's Evelyn Cheng Organizations: West Texas, Minneapolis Federal, Bloomberg Television, CNBC PRO Locations: Odessa , Texas, Israel, China, Minneapolis, U.S, Saudi, Riyadh, Moscow
Following the comments from top Fed officials on Monday, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said the U.S. central bank does not need to raise interest rates any further, and that he sees no recession ahead. "Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict and one eye on what's happening with bond yields. The decline in bond yields is the key driver today," said John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon. "If tensions escalate bond yields might decline further because they're a safe haven but equities would sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion," he said. But the flight to safety has made Treasury yields fall enough to push up equities," Tuz said.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, dovish, Raphael Bostic, John Praveen, Praveen, Peter Tuz, Tuz, Neel Kashkari, Christopher Waller, Sinéad Carew, Shashwat Chauhan, Ankika Biswas, Terence Gabriel, Arun Koyyur, Shounak Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, U.S . Federal Reserve, Atlanta Fed, Treasury, Chase Investment, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank, Traders, PepsiCo, Truist, Rivian, UBS, EV, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Gaza, Paleo Leon, Charlottesville , Virginia, Israel, Minneapolis
CNBC Daily Open: Things are ‘likely to remain messy’
  + stars: | 2023-09-28 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari thinks the current interest rate range of 5.25% to 5.5% might not be high enough to be restrict inflation, he told CNBC. But even after that turmoil, it doesn't look like stocks have hit their bottom yet, writes CNBC Pro's Bob Pisani. Here are the signs he's looking for before he thinks stocks can rally again.
Persons: Europe's, John Chambers, Neel Kashkari, Kashkari, Meta, Stocks, , hasn't, Bob Pisani Organizations: CNBC, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Treasury, AAA, AA, Minneapolis Federal, metaverse Meta Locations: Congress, Minneapolis
CNBC Daily Open: Thinking about tech
  + stars: | 2023-09-27 | by ( Clement Tan | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Alibaba unit IPO Alibaba plans to list its logistics unit Cainiao in Hong Kong, the Chinese e-commerce giant said in a regulatory filing on Tuesday. It's the first to announce listing plans among the six business units as a result of one of the most radical shake-ups in Alibaba's history . The company split its structure into six business units, and hopes most of them will be able to raise outside funds and go public.
Persons: Rene Haas, It's, Dimon, — Dimon, it's, Jerome Powell, Jamie Dimon, Neel Kashkari, Herman Narula, Narula, Alibaba Organizations: Arm, Nasdaq, CNBC, TV18, Dow Jones, Dow, Financial, Treasury, Federal, JPMorgan Chase, Minneapolis Federal, Tech Locations: New York City, Hong Kong, Ukraine, America, China, India, U.S, Minneapolis
Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari said Wednesday he's unsure whether the central bank has raised interest rates enough to tame inflation. "It's possible given the dynamics of the reopening of the economy, that the neutral rate may have moved up." Some of his concerns stem from the fact that sectors of the economy that normally are affected by rate hikes seem to be ignoring them. "If we have to keep rates higher for longer, it's because the economic fundamentals are even stronger than I appreciate and the [economic] flywheel is spinning," he said. "It isn't obvious to me that that means that a recession is more likely, it just might mean that we need a higher rate path to get inflation back down to 2%."
Persons: Neel Kashkari, Kashkari Organizations: Minneapolis Federal, CNBC, Market Locations: Minneapolis
Oil prices climb as markets focus on supply tightness
  + stars: | 2023-09-27 | by ( Emily Chow | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
An aerial view shows oil tanks of Transneft oil pipeline operator at the crude oil terminal Kozmino on the shore of Nakhodka Bay near the port city of Nakhodka, Russia June 13, 2022. REUTERS/Tatiana Meel/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsSINGAPORE, Sept 27 (Reuters) - Oil prices rose nearly $1 on Wednesday as markets focused on supply tightness heading into winter and a "soft landing" for the U.S. economy. Brent crude futures rose 86 cents, or 0.9%, to $94.82 a barrel by 0340 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures climbed 86 cents, or 0.9%, to $91.25. "Oil prices are overall relatively strong amid the current tightening of supply," said CMC Markets analyst Leon Li, however adding that price support from Russia and Saudi Arabia supply cuts may be limited through the year-end. "(Economic) Data from countries in Europe and the United States have recently weakened ... Oil prices in October may show a volatile trend as a whole.
Persons: Tatiana Meel, Cushing, Leon Li, Neel Kashkari, Arathy Somasekhar, Emily Chow, Sonali Paul 私 Organizations: Rights, Brent, U.S, West Texas, Organization of, Petroleum, ANZ Research, Russian Railways, Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank, of England Locations: Nakhodka, Russia, Rights SINGAPORE, U.S, Oklahoma, Cushing, Saudi Arabia, Europe, United States, Minneapolis, Houston, Singapore
CNBC Daily Open: Is tech the gift that keeps on giving?
  + stars: | 2023-09-27 | by ( Clement Tan | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. "I am not sure if the world is prepared for 7%," he told The Times of India in an interview. Leaders from the Writers Guild of America voted unanimously to end the strike on Wednesday. Under the agreement, AI cannot write or rewrite literary material and AI-generated material will not be considered source material.
Persons: Korea's Kospi, Jamie Dimon, Neel Kashkari, It's, Kamil Dimmich Organizations: CNBC, Nikkei, Dow Jones, JPMorgan Chase, Minneapolis Federal, Fed, Hollywood, Writers Guild of America, Writers, International Monetary Fund Locations: Asia, China, U.S, India, Hong Kong, Guyana, South America, it's
Oil prices edge higher as markets focus on supply tightness
  + stars: | 2023-09-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
An aerial view of a crude oil storage facility is seen on May 4, 2020 in Cushing, Oklahoma. Oil prices ticked up in early trade on Wednesday, as markets focused on supply tightness heading into winter and a "soft landing" for the U.S. economy. Brent crude futures rose 33 cents, or 0.4%, to $94.29 a barrel by 0015 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures climbed 31 cents, or 0.3%, to $90.70. Industry data released on Tuesday showed U.S. crude oil stockpiles rose last week by about 1.6 million barrels, against analysts' expectations for a drop of about 300,000 barrels. However, markets continued to worry about U.S. crude stockpiles at the key Cushing, Oklahoma, storage hub falling below minimum operating levels.
Persons: Cushing, Neel Kashkari Organizations: Brent, U.S, West Texas, Organization of, Petroleum, Russian Railways, Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank, of England, Senate, Republicans Locations: Cushing , Oklahoma, U.S, Oklahoma, Cushing, Russia, Minneapolis
"I'm one of those folks," said Kashkari, who is considered one of the Fed's more hawkish policymakers. Kashkari said that if inflation cools next year as expected, the Fed will need to cut rates to keep policy from tightening too much. But he also said he has been surprised by how well consumer spending has held up despite the Fed's rate hikes so far. "Everybody on the Federal Open Market Committee is committed" to bringing inflation back down to the Fed's 2% target, he said. Inflation by the Fed's preferred measure was 3.3% in July.
Persons: Neel Kashkari, Mike Segar, Kashkari, Ann Saphir, Himani Sarkar, Muralikumar Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, Reuters, REUTERS, Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank, Wharton School of Business, Fed, U.S, Federal, Thomson Locations: New York City , New York, U.S, Minneapolis
Neel Kashkari, President and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, attends an interview with Reuters in New York City, New York, U.S., May 22, 2023. Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari thinks there's nearly a 50-50 chance that interest rates will need to move significantly higher to bring down inflation. In that instance, the inflation rate falls but stays above the Fed's 2% target, posing a challenge for policymakers. Noting that rate-sensitive areas such as housing and autos have held strong despite Fed tightening, Kashkari remarked, "These dynamics raise the question, How tight is policy right now? Services inflation, excluding the cost of renting shelter, has been coming down, but has otherwise remained elevated, raising longer-term concerns.
Persons: Neel Kashkari, there's, Kashkari Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, Reuters, Minneapolis Federal Locations: New York City , New York, U.S, Minneapolis
Morning Bid: Shutdown, oil, auctions and China rankle
  + stars: | 2023-09-25 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
Even before U.S. markets kick off on Monday, China's ongoing property bust threw another curve ball at stocks markets there. Country Garden (2007.HK) fell more than 7% as investors nervously watch out for its latest dollar bond coupon payment on Wednesday. Fed aside, there were multiple domestic issues to trouble the horizon - not least a government shutdown next weekend. U.S. 10-year Treasury yields nudged back close to 16-year highs above 4.5% set last week. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
Persons: Kevin Wurm, Mike Dolan, China Evergrande, Charles Wang Zhonghe, Kevin McCarthy, Morgan Stanley, Neel Kashkari, Christine Lagarde, Isabel Schnabel, Bernadette Baum Organizations: U.S, Capitol, REUTERS, HK, hawkish U.S, Federal, Republicans, Treasury, Dallas Fed, Chicago Fed, Minneapolis Federal, European Central Bank, ECB, Reuters Graphics, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Washington , U.S, U.S, Wall St, China, HK, hawkish, St, Washington, ., California
OPEC Secretary General Haitham Al Ghais said finger-pointing and misrepresenting the actions of OPEC and OPEC+ was "counterproductive." Oil prices held steady in early trading on Wednesday after a 1% drop in the previous session, as markets weighed weak economic data from China, the world's biggest oil importer, against tightening U.S. crude supplies. Brent crude futures rose 3 cents to $84.92 a barrel at 0001 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude rose 5 cents $81.04. Meanwhile, stronger-than-expected retail sales data in the United States, the world's top oil consumer, stoked worries that interest rates could stay higher for longer. Supply cuts by Saudi Arabia and Russia, part of the OPEC+ group comprising the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies, have pushed up oil prices over the past seven weeks.
Persons: Haitham Al Ghais, Neel Kashkari, Fitch Organizations: Brent, U.S, West Texas, American Petroleum Institute, Reuters, Minneapolis Federal, of, Petroleum Locations: OPEC, China, Beijing, United States, Minneapolis, U.S, Saudi Arabia, Russia
REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File PhotoSummaryCompanies Retail sales data due at 8:30 a.m. ETNvidia gains as UBS, Wells Fargo raise PTFutures down: Dow 0.67%, S&P 0.65%, Nasdaq 0.68%Aug 15 (Reuters) - U.S. stock index futures fell on Tuesday as government bond yields hit fresh highs ahead of July retail sales data that could offer clues on the Federal Reserve's interest rate path. ET (1230 GMT) is expected to show retail sales rose 0.4% last month after climbing 0.2% in June, likely adding to evidence that the U.S. economy remains on a strong footing. Rising Treasury yields have pressured equities after hotter-than-expected producer prices data last week stoked concerns the Fed could keep rates higher for longer than previously anticipated. ET, Dow e-minis were down 238 points, or 0.67%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 29.5 points, or 0.65%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 104.25 points, or 0.68%.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Wells, Otunuga, Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo, Bilibili, Neel Kashkari, Berkshire Hathaway, Warren Buffett's, Horton, Amruta Khandekar, Maju Samuel, Vinay Dwivedi Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, UBS, Wells Fargo, PT, Dow, Nasdaq, Commerce, Treasury, Nvidia, Apple, Alibaba, Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank, Traders, Fed, Dow e, General Motors, Berkshire, Warren, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, United States, China, Beijing, Minneapolis, Warren Buffett's Berkshire, homebuilder D.R
Neel Kashkari, President and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, speaks during an interview with Reuters in New York City, New York, May 22, 2023. Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari favors getting tougher on regional banks, following a crisis earlier this year that he said may not be over. Regional bank shares fell as Kashkari spoke. Those banks holding longer-dated Treasurys faced capital losses as rates went up and bond prices fell. Should the Fed have to keep raising rates, that could affect banks in the same situation.
Persons: Neel Kashkari, Kashkari, Treasurys Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, Reuters, Minneapolis Federal, Regional Banking, Troubled Asset Relief, Bank Locations: New York City , New York, Minneapolis
ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was more than 5 basis points higher at 4.235%. U.S. Treasury yields rose on Tuesday as investors awaited economic data and reports that could provide fresh insights into the state of the economy and the outlook for interest rates. Investors looked ahead to economic data and reports slated for the week. Import and export price data is also due Tuesday and Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari is scheduled to make remarks. Following the Fed's July meeting, central bank chief Jerome Powell said a range of options were still on the table and interest rate decisions would depend on economic data.
Persons: Neel Kashkari, Jerome Powell Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Minneapolis Federal
Morning Bid: U.S. retail therapy as China funk deepens
  + stars: | 2023-08-15 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
Raindrops hang on a sign for Wall Street outside the New York Stock Exchange in Manhattan in New York City, New York, U.S., October 26, 2020. China stocks fell again (.CSI300) and 10-year government bond yields fell to three-year lows. Ten-year Treasury yields hit their highest for the year at 4.23%. Elsewhere in the so-called BRICS emerging economies - the grouping of Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa - the dollar was also in command. Back stateside, the retail sales report will be accompanied by an earnings update from Home Depot - the first of the big retailers to report this week.
Persons: Mike Segar, Mike Dolan, Jackson, Jack Henry *, Neel Kashkari, Susan Fenton Organizations: Wall, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Micron Technology, Bank of America's, Treasury, Agilent Technologies, Cardinal Health, NY, Minneapolis Federal, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Manhattan, New York City , New York, U.S, China, Japan, Brazil, Russia, India, South Africa, Ukraine, Argentina's, Canada
Stock futures are near flat Tuesday night as investors came off a losing session that marked the latest leg down in an August slump. S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures were also both little changed. The moves follow a losing session on Wall Street, with all three of the major indexes finishing more than 1% lower on Tuesday. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 ended the session below its 50-day moving average, which could signal a downturn ahead. The Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 are on track to end 5% and 3.3% lower, respectively, while the Dow is slated to drop 1.7%.
Persons: Dow, Wells, Fitch, Neel Kashkari, Keith Buchanan, It's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, JPMorgan, Bank of America, Minneapolis Federal, Regional Banking, Globalt Investments, Target, TJX Companies Locations: New York City, Cava, Wells Fargo, China
Usually around 1.75 percentage points, and as low as 1.3 in 2021, the so-called mortgage spread is hovering at more than 3 percentage points now. And that is propping up mortgage rates, keeping home owners from selling their homes and buying nicer ones, and hurting first-time buyers, Yun said. Why mortgage spreads should move lowerLogically, mortgage spreads should move down sharply from here, thanks to the recent spate of good economic news, and bring relief to home buyers who have seen affordability deteriorate sharply since 2020. But as the Fed began raising interest rates in March 2022, mortgage rates rose even faster than bond yields. Mortgage rates also dropped, to 6.89% last Friday from a recent peak of 7.22%, according to Mortgage News Daily.
Persons: Lawrence Yun, Yun, Logan Mohtashami, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Rob Haworth, Banks, refinance, Haworth, Neel Kashkari Organizations: National Association of Realtors, Federal Reserve, Fed, Bank, Atlanta Federal Reserve, Mortgage News, HousingWire, Treasury, U.S . Bank, Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank Locations: Stockton , California, treasuries, Silicon, U.S, Irvine , Calif, Seattle
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